Nowadays nearly every week is a critical week. Last week was – yet it seemed to end with a dribbling away of tension.  They didn’t work over the weekend either. They, being Mrs May and Corybn and perhaps the Cabinet. How unlike the rest of us they are.  In any crisis, do we not work weekends? Not MPs apparently.

Yes, a curious week.  In no particular order, we had:

MPs taking control on Monday; debating and voting for four motions.  I watched some excellent people debating thoughtfully and with dignity, notwithstanding a protest in the gallery where naked Extinction Revolution stuck themselves to the glass making MPs laugh through Peter Kyle’s introduction of his motion.  But despite their wish to i) be part of a customs union ii) be part of a Common Market 2 iii) have a  ‘confirmatory vote’ – interesting how the language has changed and iv) on no account leave without a deal – every motion was defeated. So, no control there then. The father of the House Kenneth Clarke said, rather sorrowfully, that MPs don’t appear to be much good at politics. Yup! Too right.

On another day Yvette Cooper (Lab) and Sir Oliver Letwin (Conservative and fancy him being a hero of the hour) put forward a Bill to outlaw a no-deal’ which was passed by one vote. I mean one, only one?  311 to 312. So there are 311 utter shites wanting a no-deal? Thank you so much. Apologies for my language, but I’m beyond exasperated.

Then there was a planned 7-hour Cabinet meeting which seemed to be longer and where MPs had their phones confiscated so they couldn’t ‘leak’. Theresa came out to speak directly to the people (which is a very dangerous thing which I’ll talk about another time) and said precisely nothing. Oh, she’s going to talk to Jeremy Corbyn – something you’d think she’d think of a wee bit before the very last minute. And where has that gone? Not very far.  Seems to have spluttered to a halt with talk of Mrs May offering not one compromise. Are we surprised?  The talks may continue though – but who knows.

And oh, yes, she’s going to ask for a longer delay. But not a really long one, only to June 30th. However, whatever is requested (long or short) if it goes beyond 22nd May we have to take part in the EU elections which, although the thought of this has sent the Tory party into cardiac arrest, no-one really wants while there is this uncertainty and chaos.

Apparently over the water, in deepest Europe, although there are mutterings of refusing Mrs May’s request because why is she requesting this – what is her plan? Ummm, nope, no plan. There are also mutterings about giving the UK a year’s delay.  Which won’t suit the Conservative party either I can  guarantee that.

These extensions (of whatever variety) will be discussed at an emergency meeting of the 27 EU leaders on 10th April.  And don’t forget the deadline for the UK either passing the Withdrawal Agreement or coming up with a fresh plan is on the 11th April.

So: where does this leave us.

  • The Withdrawal Agreement – is ever so slightly more likely to be passed – if it comes before Parliament that is
  • However, if the WA is passed Mrs May will step down, and then a new PM could renege on the above – just saying
  • A general election – yes, quite possible
  • No deal – yes, very possible
  • A long delay – also possible but that’s a whole can of worms there.

Therefore, this coming week is truly critical.

Penny Kocher 7 April 2019

Further reading: Jonathan Friedland The lesson of this Brexit ordeal? Guardian Friday 5 April 2019

And I promise a far more considered analysis when – when we can see what our fate might be!

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8 thoughts on “The Never-ending Story could end this week – or then again, maybe not

  • 7th April 2019 at 09:18
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    And let’s not forget that Scotland which voted overwhemingly to remain has largely been ignored throughout the process. I understand from Nicola Sturgeon’s Twitter that she flew down to meet Theresea May only to asked what compromises she and JC were prepared to make while none were offered by TM. How typical does that sound? Then the Gov’t will be outraged when Scotland’s independence vote rears its head again. Living in England but near the border, these unintended consequences, like Northern Ireland, matter.
    Our politicians (with a few honourable exceptions) don’t seem to care about people and country though, just about their own party and their own ideology. What a complete and utter shambles. We keep being told this is delivering what The Will Of The People want. If the Will Of The People still wants this, now we know what the options look like let us vote for or against it fair and square.

    Reply
    • 7th April 2019 at 15:14
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      I think the same about a second vote. Why are the leavers so afraid of this. They are sure they are fulfilling the will of the people, in which case they’d win again (I don’t think). Give Maybots idea to the people and let us vote on it. Maybots deal or remain. How difficult can it be

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      • 9th April 2019 at 06:13
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        Indeed. Why are they so afraid. Or sadly in Mrs May’s case, it’s just about sticking to a straight line and never deviating – so blinkered.

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    • 9th April 2019 at 06:05
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      Indeed let us have another vote – what a strange idea some people have of ‘democracy’. Either way I’d accept the vote. Yes, I would accept a vote to leave. Because we would have been asked. It’s as simple as that. Meanwhile our dithering MPs can change their minds again and again.

      I absolutely agree that Scotland has not been listened to one jot – they need freedom of movement. So let’s see what happens in the next 48 hours.

      Reply
  • 7th April 2019 at 14:07
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    The so called ‘United’ Kingdom is a laughing stock. I wrote a long comment and then deleted it because what can one say that is original. The whole system where MPs are elected for as long as they can cling on needs changed. They are not fit for purpose in fact their purpose seems be re-election.

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    • 9th April 2019 at 06:09
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      I think there are some noteable exceptions on both sides of the House. But the system and the process is so antediluvian, antiquated and downright odd. That has to change and our two-party system. Yes, we vote in tribes not parties now – will look at that shortly. Thanks for the comment both long and short

      Reply
  • 8th April 2019 at 16:01
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    I expect you’ve seen it, but just in case you haven’t, here’s Peter Oborne’s piece yesterday entitled “I was a strong Brexiteer. Now we must swallow our pride and think again”. I do hope that as many Leavers as possible read it – perhaps it should even be made compulsoryl!

    https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/opendemocracyuk/i-was-strong-brexiteer-now-we-must-swallow-our-pride-and-think-again/?fbclid=IwAR3L-HNrwFNipcARtrZ75Vz4kIAjIZnWYxJ7izeQ8huiMYqL3PlgnATfD0g

    Reply
    • 9th April 2019 at 06:12
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      Thank you so much. I have seen it and skim read it, but I’m taking it on a train journey this morning to read it properly. But many thanks for putting up the link as others can now read it. Oborne is an important political observer so it’ll make for interesting reading. Thanks again.

      Reply

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